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Probably
Starts vs. the Money Line…June 11, 2003
Hopefully everyone is having a
profitable spring so far. With summer just around the corner and the NBA
a few days away from calling it a season we turn our lonely eyes to
baseball. My
May 7 article, how to win in MLB, I had mentioned some things to look
for to help find value in the games we pick. Well let’s put this to the
test.
One of the things I had talked about
bet on pitching. Below is a list of games that I have selected from this
weekends probably pitchers. I have included the season records, their
last three appearances, as well as their Money Line records. Going
strictly on the Money Line lets see how we do.
The games selected aren’t ones that
may have the most value over the weekend, but that is why I choose to
select these games, to but the theory to the test. Check back next week
and I will post the results.
Saturday
|
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees |
3:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season |
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
M. Morris |
STL |
7-3 |
3.06 |
1-0 |
6.52 ERA |
$107 |
|
A Pettitte |
NYY |
5-6 |
5.33 |
1-1 |
5.51 ERA |
-$440 |
|
Pick: St. Louis |
|
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners |
3:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season |
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
M. Hampton |
Atla |
2-3 |
4.05 |
0-1 |
3.29 ERA |
$115 |
|
J. Moyer |
Sea |
10-2 |
2.93 |
3-0 |
0.86 ERA |
$925 |
|
Pick: Seattle |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins |
7:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season
|
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
M. Batista |
Ariz |
3-3 |
2.87 |
0-1 |
3.24 ERA |
$300 |
|
J. Mays |
Minn |
7-3 |
5.21 |
2-0 |
4.50 ERA |
$615 |
|
Pick: Minnesota |
Sunday
|
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees |
1:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season |
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
W. Williams |
STL |
8-1 |
2.33 |
1-1 |
2.78 ERA |
$320 |
|
M. Mussina |
NYY |
8-4 |
3.05 |
1-1 |
4.87 ERA |
-$47 |
|
Pick: St. Louis |
|
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners |
8:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season |
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
G. Maddux |
Atla |
5-5 |
4.58 |
2-0 |
3.15 ERA |
-$148 |
|
G. Meche |
Sea |
8-3 |
3.32 |
2-1 |
4.66 ERA |
$613 |
|
Pick: Seattle |
|
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins |
7:05 PM
EST |
|
Probably
Starter |
Season |
Season ERA |
Last 3 |
ML |
|
E. Dessens |
Ariz |
4-4 |
5.24 |
0-0 |
6.06 ERA |
-$325 |
|
B. Radke |
Minn |
5-6 |
5.61 |
0-2 |
6.16 ERA |
-$240 |
|
Pick: Minnesota |
All the picks will be against the
Money Line. As always when trying to find extra value in games the Sunday
Atlanta vs. Seattle game will be televised on ESPN; this means that
according to
SportingBetUSA promotion, any game televised on ESPN, the
Money and Total Lines on are Half Price!
Example:
|
|
Normal |
Half Price |
|
Yankees |
-140 |
-135 |
|
Red Sox |
+120 |
+125 |
|
Over 10.5 |
-110 |
-105 |
|
Under 10.5 |
-110 |
-105 |
As
always, good luck
Nick Rizzo
Questions and comments can be directed to
NickR@LasVegasSportsLine.com |