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From The Lines Desk…

Probably Starts vs. the Money Line…June 11, 2003

Hopefully everyone is having a profitable spring so far.  With summer just around the corner and the NBA a few days away from calling it a season we turn our lonely eyes to baseball. My May 7 article, how to win in MLB, I had mentioned some things to look for to help find value in the games we pick.  Well let’s put this to the test.

One of the things I had talked about bet on pitching.  Below is a list of games that I have selected from this weekends probably pitchers.  I have included the season records, their last three appearances, as well as their Money Line records.  Going strictly on the Money Line lets see how we do.

The games selected aren’t ones that may have the most value over the weekend, but that is why I choose to select these games, to but the theory to the test.  Check back next week and I will post the results.

Saturday

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

3:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

M. Morris

STL

7-3

3.06

1-0

6.52 ERA

$107

A Pettitte

NYY

5-6

5.33

1-1

5.51 ERA

-$440

Pick:      St. Louis

 

Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners

3:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

M. Hampton

Atla

2-3

4.05

0-1

3.29 ERA

$115

J. Moyer

Sea

10-2

2.93

3-0

0.86 ERA

$925

Pick:      Seattle

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins

7:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

M. Batista

Ariz

3-3

2.87

0-1

3.24 ERA

$300

J. Mays

Minn

7-3

5.21

2-0

4.50 ERA

$615

Pick:      Minnesota

Sunday

St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees

1:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

W. Williams

STL

8-1

2.33

1-1

2.78 ERA

$320

M. Mussina

NYY

8-4

3.05

1-1

4.87 ERA

-$47

Pick:      St. Louis

 

Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners

8:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

G. Maddux

Atla

5-5

4.58

2-0

3.15 ERA

-$148

G. Meche

Sea

8-3

3.32

2-1

4.66 ERA

$613

Pick:      Seattle

 

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Minnesota Twins

7:05 PM EST

Probably Starter

Season

Season ERA

Last 3

ML

E. Dessens

Ariz

4-4

5.24

0-0

6.06 ERA

-$325

B. Radke

Minn

5-6

5.61

0-2

6.16 ERA

-$240

Pick:      Minnesota

All the picks will be against the Money Line.  As always when trying to find extra value in games the Sunday Atlanta vs. Seattle game will be televised on ESPN; this means that according to SportingBetUSA promotion, any game televised on ESPN, the Money and Total Lines on are Half Price!

Example:

 

Normal

Half Price

Yankees

-140

-135

Red Sox

+120

+125

Over 10.5

-110

-105

Under 10.5

-110

-105

As always, good luck

Nick Rizzo

Questions and comments can be directed to NickR@LasVegasSportsLine.com

 

 

 
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