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A quick glance at the numbers in Round One of the
National Football Lottery a.k.a. "Wild Card Weekend"-
a catchphrase I found odd considering that two of the
combatants don't fit the moniker- shows that the power
of home cooking takes a backseat to the reality of
having been there.
And by "there" I mean the big stage, you know the
playoffs, you know what every coach will tell you,
"This I what we play for." Maybe that's why Local 22
opened at -8 (it's now 7 ½) over the Jags and the
Steelers came out at -3 for yet another visit to
Cincinnati. In the other pairings, the Giants began as
3-point favorites but early Panthers' money dropped
the G-Men to 2 ½, the same number that the Bucs are
spotting the visiting Redskins. So what we have are
three games with numbers set at a field goal or less;
three home favorites and one team, the mighty World
Champs, spotting its opponent greater than a
touchdown.
Before I get to the big stage, on last week's lesser
stage, the by now tepid troops got a much needed win
with the underdog Browns. Correctly sensing that Kyle
Boller didn't have the power to play three consecutive
good games and that the Browns would rally over a
humiliating home shutout, the team from the western
shore of Lake Erie won outright and we all won $500.
That welcome vial of plasma reduced the deficit to
$1,820 while putting the record at 11-17-1 after
playing by the numbers for 17 weeks.
For the record, I see every underdog as a very live
puppy in this, Wild Card Weekend. Okay, stop your
bleating, I know that the Local Heroes are prohibitive
favorites, but in the deepest pockets of your puffy
blue jacket or in the starch on Krafty Bob's trademark
white collared against a blue background shirt, aren't
you a bit squeamish? After all, these Jags, despite
North Florida roots, are suited for chillier climes.
They play defense anchored by behemoths on the line
and Fragile Fred Taylor enters healthy. In short it's
a team made for January football. But of course, we
all know that the Sons of the aforementioned Krafty
Bob understand what it's like to play football a week
after the ball drops in Times Square.
Like I said, don't rip that puffy blue jacket into
shreds, while I harbor thoughts that the J-Men can
win, I'm also fearful that a rather anemic offense
such as theirs may not reach 14-points. Now if you're
as smart as the man who leads Local 22, you should
know where I'm headed- and that is to make play on
under 37 points in the Saturday night special. It's
going to be colder than a, well you get the picture
and both sides can stop the other. If I fear the Jags
can't reach 14-points, I can live with the Hometown
Heroes putting up 21 or even 24 points. Under
37-points in the Jags-Pats will be a $440 risk.
Early in the season, the Bengals were hot when the
Steelers came to the Queen City. On their first two
possessions the homes side managed to dent the
Steelers 10 yard line each time only to end up with
three points whereupon the epitome of unraveling was
unveiled. In the return matchup, they walloped the
Steelers in Pittsburgh and along the way exorcised
some demons.
Of course I know that the Steelers are smoking and
that they've "been there," but has anyway told you
that "They've been there and generally lose." The line
should be pick, plain and simple. This number is
telling you that if the game were in Pittsburgh, the
Steelers would be 9-point favorites- balderdash and
ludicrous come to mind. The Bengals taking 3-points
will be a $550 play in Wild Card Weekend
Listen to I.M. Bettor every Sunday morning from 9-10 a.m. on AM-890 ESPNBoston Radio.
Contact I.M. Bettor at IM@LasVegasSportsLine.com and get a free play by calling 617-520-8065.
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